Aarau vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 5
YOB
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
THU
3 - 0
NEX
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
THU
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
THU
1 - 0
YVE
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |