Swiss Super League Round 18

Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis

Aarau St. Gallen
73 ELO 74
0.7% Tilt -3.8%
725º General ELO ranking 274º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.6%
Aarau
26%
Draw
28.4%
St. Gallen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
Aarau
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.4%
Win probability
St. Gallen
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+5%
+3%
St. Gallen

ELO progression

Aarau
St. Gallen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2007
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
73%
17%
10%
72 85 13 0
11 Nov. 2007
FCA
Aarau
3 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
45%
26%
29%
71 72 1 +1
04 Nov. 2007
FCL
Luzern
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
52%
25%
23%
71 71 0 0
01 Nov. 2007
FCA
Aarau
5 - 0
Thun
THU
39%
27%
33%
69 75 6 +2
27 Oct. 2007
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
63%
21%
15%
69 79 10 0

Matches

St. Gallen
St. Gallen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2007
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 7
Young Boys
YOB
30%
25%
45%
74 84 10 0
10 Nov. 2007
SIO
Sion
5 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
50%
25%
25%
75 78 3 -1
04 Nov. 2007
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
47%
26%
28%
74 72 2 +1
31 Oct. 2007
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 3
Zurich
ZUR
26%
24%
50%
74 85 11 0
27 Oct. 2007
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
45%
26%
30%
74 70 4 0