Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCW
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
LUG
3 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1990 |
SER
2 - 1
SIO
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1990 |
LAU
2 - 0
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
SIO
2 - 1
SER
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
FCL
1 - 2
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |