Aarau vs Schaffhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
7º
6º
38
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
5 - 2
FCA
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCD
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 1
SCH
38%
25%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 2
SCH
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 2
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |