Aarau vs Rapperswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 3
FCA
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SER
3 - 1
FCA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 3
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rapperswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 2
RAP
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 4
KRI
34%
23%
43%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 2
LAU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 2
KRI
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 0
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |