Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 0
FCA
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UZU
0 - 5
FCA
9%
14%
77%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIN
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCA
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 3
BIE
62%
20%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NEX
1 - 4
BIE
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SCB
1 - 5
NEX
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
NEX
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
WOH
0 - 2
NEX
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NEX
1 - 3
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |