Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 4

Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Aarau Neuchâtel Xamax
74 ELO 76
-2% Tilt 3.7%
732º General ELO ranking 1615º
15º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Aarau
25.1%
Draw
34.4%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
Aarau
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.4%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+1%
-1%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Aarau
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2002
FCA
Aarau
2 - 3
Grasshopper
GCZ
21%
22%
57%
74 85 11 0
13 Jul. 2002
WIL
FC Wil
4 - 0
Aarau
FCA
52%
23%
25%
75 75 0 -1
06 Jul. 2002
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Basel
BAS
25%
24%
51%
75 85 10 0
07 May. 2002
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
43%
25%
33%
75 77 2 0
04 May. 2002
DEL
Delemont
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
42%
25%
33%
75 70 5 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2002
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
51%
23%
26%
76 75 1 0
13 Jul. 2002
BAS
Basel
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
73%
16%
11%
76 85 9 0
06 Jul. 2002
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Thun
THU
56%
23%
21%
76 72 4 0
07 May. 2002
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
43%
25%
33%
77 75 2 -1
04 May. 2002
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
47%
24%
29%
76 78 2 +1