Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 20

Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Aarau Neuchâtel Xamax
74 ELO 73
0.7% Tilt 4.9%
761º General ELO ranking 1660º
15º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
51%
Aarau
23.7%
Draw
25.3%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
Aarau
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
-9%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Aarau
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2001
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
69%
18%
13%
75 82 7 0
03 Nov. 2001
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
44%
25%
31%
74 75 1 +1
28 Oct. 2001
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
48%
25%
27%
74 76 2 0
21 Oct. 2001
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
33%
25%
42%
74 81 7 0
16 Oct. 2001
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
34%
25%
41%
75 65 10 -1

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2001
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
48%
25%
27%
72 74 2 0
04 Nov. 2001
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
46%
26%
29%
72 77 5 0
27 Oct. 2001
BAS
Basel
5 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
70%
18%
13%
72 82 10 0
20 Oct. 2001
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
43%
25%
33%
72 76 4 0
14 Oct. 2001
STG
St. Gallen
4 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
64%
20%
16%
72 81 9 0