Swiss Super League Round 18

Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Aarau Neuchâtel Xamax
72 ELO 84
7.5% Tilt 3.5%
741º General ELO ranking 1609º
15º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Aarau
22.3%
Draw
48.8%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
Aarau
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.8%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+4%
-3%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Aarau
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 1984
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
36%
27%
37%
72 58 14 0
27 Nov. 1983
FCA
Aarau
8 - 1
AC Bellinzona
BEL
67%
19%
14%
71 59 12 +1
20 Nov. 1983
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
47%
25%
28%
72 78 6 -1
12 Nov. 1983
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
77%
14%
10%
73 84 11 -1
30 Oct. 1983
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
Luzern
FCL
60%
21%
19%
73 69 4 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 1984
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 0
Chiasso
CHI
85%
11%
4%
84 56 28 0
25 Feb. 1984
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
68%
19%
13%
83 77 6 +1
27 Nov. 1983
YOB
Young Boys
0 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
41%
25%
34%
84 77 7 -1
19 Nov. 1983
CHI
Chiasso
1 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
16%
25%
59%
84 59 25 0
12 Nov. 1983
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
77%
14%
10%
84 73 11 0