Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 3
WOH
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 4
BVB
10%
18%
73%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAU
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
3 - 4
FCL
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 0
FCL
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |