Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SER
5 - 0
FCA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
FCA
3 - 1
ZUR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCA
42%
25%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 1
STG
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 1
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 3
FCL
83%
12%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
15%
18%
67%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
THU
3 - 1
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |