Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
2 - 2
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 0
DEL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
LAU
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
THU
4 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
WIL
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |