Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 2
DEL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FCA
2 - 1
GCZ
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
FCL
3 - 0
LUG
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 4
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
DEL
0 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |