Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1991 |
YOB
5 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1991 |
FCA
0 - 3
LAU
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1991 |
FCA
4 - 0
GCZ
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1991 |
FCL
3 - 0
STG
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1991 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
FCL
1 - 0
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1991 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCL
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
SIO
2 - 3
FCL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |