Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 2
FCA
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 3
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 3
FCV
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |