Aarau vs Lantana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lantana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
0 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
LAN
2 - 1
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |