Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals

Aarau vs Karlsruher SC analysis

Aarau Karlsruher SC
78 ELO 85
4.2% Tilt -6.3%
742º General ELO ranking 215º
15º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
40.2%
Aarau
27.6%
Draw
32.2%
Karlsruher SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
Aarau
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.2%
Win probability
Karlsruher SC
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
-1%
Karlsruher SC

ELO progression

Aarau
Karlsruher SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 1995
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
Aarau
FCA
38%
29%
33%
79 74 5 0
23 Jul. 1995
UCL
Universitatea Cluj
2 - 3
Aarau
FCA
37%
26%
37%
79 67 12 0
19 Jul. 1995
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
63%
22%
15%
80 74 6 -1
16 Jul. 1995
FCA
Aarau
6 - 1
HB Tórshavn
HBT
79%
14%
7%
80 65 15 0
02 Jul. 1995
BEE
Beerschot
3 - 3
Aarau
FCA
53%
23%
24%
80 75 5 0

Matches

Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 1995
GÓR
Górnik Zabrze
1 - 6
Karlsruher SC
KSC
35%
25%
40%
85 75 10 0
15 Jul. 1995
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
61%
22%
17%
85 83 2 0
08 Jul. 1995
BAS
Basel
2 - 3
Karlsruher SC
KSC
47%
27%
27%
85 80 5 0
01 Jul. 1995
KSC
Karlsruher SC
3 - 0
AGF Aarhus
AGF
80%
13%
7%
84 72 12 +1
17 Jun. 1995
KSC
Karlsruher SC
2 - 2
VfL Bochum
BOC
72%
18%
10%
84 75 9 0