Challenge League Round 5

Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis

Aarau FC Vaduz
62 ELO 73
13% Tilt 18.1%
725º General ELO ranking 1007º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.5%
Aarau
23.9%
Draw
49.7%
FC Vaduz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Aarau
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.7%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+11%
+4%
FC Vaduz

ELO progression

Aarau
FC Vaduz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2017
ECH
Echallens
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
12%
17%
71%
63 41 22 0
10 Aug. 2017
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Schaffhausen
SCH
38%
25%
38%
64 68 4 -1
07 Aug. 2017
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
27%
25%
48%
64 56 8 0
29 Jul. 2017
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
68%
19%
13%
64 54 10 0
21 Jul. 2017
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
60%
21%
19%
65 71 6 -1

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2017
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 2
Winterthur
WIN
66%
21%
13%
72 56 16 0
06 Aug. 2017
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
42%
24%
34%
73 72 1 -1
30 Jul. 2017
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Servette
SER
57%
24%
19%
73 65 8 0
23 Jul. 2017
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
14%
20%
66%
73 55 18 0
20 Jul. 2017
ODD
Odd
1 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
49%
23%
28%
74 80 6 -1