Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
WIL
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 3
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
19%
22%
58%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
SER
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
FCV
5 - 2
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 3
FCV
30%
25%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIL
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SER
0 - 1
FCV
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
FCV
3 - 0
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |