Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCV
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCV
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 2
BIE
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCV
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 3
FCV
8%
14%
79%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
LUG
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |