Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
4 - 0
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
THU
0 - 3
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 3
SCH
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
WOH
0 - 1
FCA
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
LEM
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
FCA
3 - 2
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
WOH
2 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LAU
0 - 0
CHI
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |