Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
YOB
3 - 3
FCA
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 3
NEX
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 4
BAS
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAS
27%
25%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCV
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |