Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
SCH
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
WIS
3 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 2
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 2
ASN
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |