Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
THU
5 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 7
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 3
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 2
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 5
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 2
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 3
SCH
82%
12%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |