Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
LAU
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 2
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LAU
1 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
YVE
0 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |