Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1996 |
STG
3 - 4
FCA
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 0
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
44%
28%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
3 - 0
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1996 |
ANT
2 - 5
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 2
SHA
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAS
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1996 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |