Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
FCA
6 - 2
FCG
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
FCA
5 - 1
LAC
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
SIO
4 - 2
FCA
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1986 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
5 - 0
BAD
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
LAC
0 - 0
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
35%
25%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 1
YOB
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |