FBK Karlstad vs IK Tord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
1º
23
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 53 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 51 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 47 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 35 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 30 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 27 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
56% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
IFH
1 - 3
FBK
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
GRE
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
FBK
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 1
AIF
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FBK
3 - 1
SFC
90%
7%
3%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
IK Tord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 1
KUM
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
IKT
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
IKT
4 - 0
VAN
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
KON
1 - 1
IKT
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IKT
3 - 0
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |