FBK Karlstad vs Haga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
1º
17
11º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 55 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
78.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
FBK
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 1
KUM
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
FBK
24%
24%
53%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
41%
23%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Haga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
VAN
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 0
GRE
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +4 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
TFC
3 - 1
IFH
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
AIF
10%
14%
76%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
KON
10%
14%
76%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -2 |