FBK Karlstad vs Haga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
8º
2º
8
12º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
20 | 53 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 50 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 45 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 38 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 38 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 32 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 27 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 19 |
13º
|
54.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 11 |
14º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 40% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
FBK
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 1
KUM
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
FBK
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Haga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
VAN
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 0
GRE
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +4 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
TFC
3 - 1
IFH
25%
21%
55%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
AIF
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
KON
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -2 |