FBK Karlstad vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
14º
2º
44
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VFK
1 - 4
FBK
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
FBK
5 - 1
YIK
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 1
LID
18%
18%
64%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +4 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
GAU
0 - 1
FBK
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FBK
1 - 2
ORE
9%
14%
77%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
YIK
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
LID
0 - 1
HER
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GAU
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
STE
0 - 2
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
BKF
40%
22%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |