FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 1
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
MEL
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 1
LOS
59%
25%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |