FBC Melgar vs Academia Cantolao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 1
BIN
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 0
MEL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
SBO
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 1
SWA
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 3
MEL
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Cantolao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
GAR
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
3 - 0
CAN
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
3 - 0
HUA
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BIN
0 - 2
CAN
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 2
SBO
26%
22%
53%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |