Gravina vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
1 - 2
FBC
10%
17%
73%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
FBC
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 1
NFR
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 2
FBC
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 2
RPO
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
NFR
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FCF
2 - 2
NAR
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 1
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
PIC
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
POM
2 - 0
NAR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |