FBC Finale 1908 vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Finale 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MPO
1 - 0
FBC
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 0
ARG
42%
23%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FCV
3 - 2
FBC
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 1
JMO
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAV
2 - 0
FBC
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 1
SAV
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
USR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VMO
5 - 1
GRO
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 4
SES
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |