Fatsa Belediye vs Bafraspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
KAN
2 - 3
FAT
49%
26%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
SSK
3 - 2
FAT
36%
29%
35%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
ARA
1 - 2
FAT
38%
29%
33%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
FAT
2 - 1
AHP
55%
26%
19%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
KAN
1 - 0
FAT
47%
27%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bafraspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
193
0 - 0
KAN
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ART
0 - 0
193
52%
26%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ERB
3 - 0
193
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
193
2 - 3
TOK
36%
30%
34%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
UNY
1 - 0
193
67%
20%
12%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |