Fatih Karagümrük vs Lüleburgazspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1977 |
KAS
2 - 1
FAT
56%
28%
16%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
FAT
1 - 1
GAL
51%
30%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
IST
1 - 1
FAT
73%
19%
8%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1977 |
FAT
3 - 2
KUC
75%
18%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAT
55%
27%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lüleburgazspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1977 |
LUL
0 - 0
IST
35%
35%
31%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
KUC
1 - 2
LUL
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1977 |
ALI
1 - 0
LUL
57%
26%
17%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
LUL
3 - 1
USK
77%
17%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
KIR
1 - 0
LUL
50%
30%
20%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |