Fast Clube vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
BOT
3 - 0
FAS
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
FAS
1 - 5
BAN
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
FAS
2 - 2
PAY
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
AME
1 - 0
FAS
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
XVD
3 - 0
FAS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 0
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAY
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
GUA
2 - 0
VIL
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1978 |
VIL
3 - 0
BRA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
VIL
0 - 2
REM
23%
28%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |