Fast Clube vs Nacional Borbense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
FAS
3 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
FAS
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
FAS
3 - 1
RIO
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
FAS
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 0
PRI
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Borbense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
RIO
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
5 - 0
NAC
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 3
PRI
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
6 - 2
NAC
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAN
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |