Città di Fasano vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+153%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
USV
0 - 0
ASF
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ASF
1 - 2
FSG
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
ASF
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ASF
1 - 0
ASP
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BAC
0 - 2
ASF
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
POM
3 - 2
NOC
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NOC
2 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 0
NOC
27%
27%
47%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NOC
3 - 2
FCT
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 2
NOC
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |