FAS vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
FAS
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FAS
2 - 0
VIS
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAS
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FIR
2 - 1
FAS
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 2
FIR
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 0
MUN
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MUN
0 - 0
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 1
MET
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 3
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |