FAS vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
5º
22
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 1
FAS
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDP
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 4
FAS
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 2
ONC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
FIR
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
7 - 1
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |