FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
FAS
3 - 2
AGU
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 3
FAS
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MUN
0 - 1
FAS
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FAS
1 - 3
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 3
FAS
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 1
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 0
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ALI
2 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |