FAS U20 vs Dragón U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
2º
1º
29
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
FAS
8 - 1
ISI
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 1
FAS
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
LAF
1 - 1
FAS
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
STE
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
FAS
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dragón U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 5
ALI
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 1
LAF
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
STE
1 - 3
DRA
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
3 - 1
ISI
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 1
DRA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |