FA Cup 1/1024
Global 6-0
Farnborough vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 0
FAR
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
FAR
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
GUL
3 - 0
FAR
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FAR
3 - 1
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
WHI
3 - 1
FAR
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 0
FAR
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 4
HOR
11%
18%
71%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
2 - 3
WIN
45%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
WIN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 1
KIN
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |