Farnborough vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
47%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 1
FAR
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
NEE
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
VCD
2 - 1
FAR
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 1
WIN
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
4 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HEN
1 - 0
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TON
3 - 1
HEN
57%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HEN
0 - 2
NEE
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
DUL
4 - 2
HEN
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
HEN
0 - 1
YEL
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |