Farnborough vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 0
HEM
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
STO
0 - 3
FAR
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
FAR
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 0
SWI
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
FAR
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
GLO
3 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HEM
2 - 1
GLO
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GLO
4 - 1
HIT
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SWI
0 - 1
GLO
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GLO
4 - 0
YAT
73%
16%
10%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |