Farnborough vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
HEM
3 - 1
FAR
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
FAR
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
FAR
3 - 1
WIN
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FAR
3 - 1
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HIT
1 - 3
FAR
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2008 |
TIV
2 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
BED
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 2
TIV
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
OXF
2 - 0
BAS
43%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |