Farense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
UDL
2 - 1
FAR
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
FAR
2 - 2
BOA
20%
26%
55%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ALV
1 - 3
FAR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
FAR
1 - 2
VIT
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 3
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
UDL
2 - 1
FAR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
BMA
1 - 1
UDL
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
UDL
2 - 0
RIO
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
EST
1 - 1
UDL
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
UDL
0 - 3
SCP
26%
26%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |