Farense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 0
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
FAR
18%
26%
57%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 0
FAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 0
MAF
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 0
TRO
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPC
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 1
CAS
21%
27%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |