Farense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
GFC
2 - 2
FAR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
LYO
1 - 0
FAR
67%
19%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FAR
0 - 1
SCP
25%
26%
50%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
FAR
0 - 1
LYO
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CHA
4 - 1
CAM
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
SPB
1 - 0
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
CHA
2 - 3
BOA
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |